Sep 27 2009

Radicalisation of German politics to continue

Published by at 12:36 pm under Opinion,Top Stories

Germans go to the polls today to vote their leaders for the next 4 years. Hours before voting venues close, one thing is already clear: The radicalisation of German politics is a reality and is continuing on its scary way in German society.

The day after the previous elections (on 18/9/2005) I suggested (here) the election had unleashed the forces of radicalisation on Germany’s political stage. With that I meant the liberal and socialist parties (FDP and Die Linke) would grow in importance in coming years, at the expense of the parties claiming to be representing the middle ground (namely the CDU/CSU and SPD).

Today, the election results will in all likelihood prove me right: The left and right will in all likelihood make huge gains, at the expense of the CSU/CDU and the SPD – the parties which governed Germany in the past 4 years in a so-called “Big Coalition” (more correctly: The coalition consisting of the two big parties).

The SPD might lose so much support, that a split in the party in coming months will be a real possibility - with the radicals in the SPD finding a new home in Die Linke and the moderates in the CDU/CSU, or other parties.

Thereby pushing Germany further in the direction of a two-camp situation and almost bringing the radicalisation of politics to its full conclusion.

After today, the market-friendly parties might still be able to rule in a coalition. So, in the immediate future little danger will go out from the process of radicalisation. The justified question is, however, how long now before the socialist left takes over in Germany?

One response so far

One Response to “Radicalisation of German politics to continue”

  1. adminon 30 Sep 2009 at 12:36 pm

    Everything happened as I suggested it would, which gives me the license to make another prognosis.

    Here we go: The next major milepost in the process of political radicalisation will be a merger between the SPD and Die Linke, in which Die Linke will be the dominating force. This will not happen soon – the two parties first have to fight many (verbal) public battles.

    A few things to look out for on the way to the day of “the big merger”: Senior heads in the SPD will retire from politics, others will resign from the SPD and dock up with other parties, still others will battle on inside the SPD and eventually the lefties in the party will gain the upper hand, paving the way for the merger of the SPD (what is left of the desperate party at that stage) with the (then-already-even-stronger-than-today) socialist party Die Linke.

    With that the process of radicalisation will have been concluded. Only four major parties will remain, the CSU/CSU and the SPD/Die Linke (the two Volksparteie) and the FDP and the (declining) Green Party.

    And future elections will give voters the choice between free markets and socialism.


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